"Doctors should prescribe statins to patients at a younger age to slash their odds of heart disease in later life, a study suggests," reports The Sun.
Researchers in the US modelled the risk factors of 36,030 people who took part in 6 long-running studies. They estimated the effects of high cholesterol and high blood pressure in young adulthood (from the age of 18 to 39) on people's risk of heart attack, stroke or heart failure in later adulthood.
They found that both raised LDL "bad" cholesterol and raised blood pressure in young adulthood were linked to an increased risk of heart disease in later life.
The researchers say their study adds to evidence that raised blood pressure and cholesterol in early adulthood can be particularly harmful, and that new ways of tackling cardiovascular risk in early adulthood are needed.
This does not mean that everyone necessarily needs to be attending health checks or needs to be on statins at a young age to reduce their cardiovascular risk.
Routine measurements of blood pressure and cholesterol levels are not offered to people under the age of 40 on the NHS, but you can request tests from your GP if you are concerned.
Many pharmacies also provide blood pressure testing services.
Regular exercise, a healthy balanced diet, not smoking and moderating alcohol can all help to keep your cholesterol and blood pressure at healthy levels. Read 10 tips on heart health.
Where did the story come from?
The researchers who carried out the study came from Columbia University, the University of California-San Francisco, Northwestern University, University of Miami, Emory University, University of Pittsburgh, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston Children’s Hospital and the health insurer Kaiser Permanante, all in the US.
The study was covered in The Sun and the Mail Online. The Sun relied heavily on quotes from the researchers, rather than on the statistical results of the study. The Sun's headline suggesting that young people should take statins is not necessarily supported by the study findings. The Mail Online did a good job of explaining how the study was run.
What kind of research was this?
This was a statistical modelling study based on 6 cohort studies.
We already know that raised blood pressure and cholesterol contribute to cardiovascular disease risk. This study was trying to understand more about the relative contribution of these risk factors at different ages.
However, it's still not easy to quantify for certain how much cardiovascular risk may come directly from each of these risk factors and how much from other health and lifestyle factors such as diet and exercise levels.
What did the research involve?
Researchers used information from 6 cohort studies in the US, which repeatedly recorded people's blood pressure and cholesterol levels, then followed them up to check for heart attacks, heart failure or stroke. The average follow-up period was 17 years.
Some of the studies included information from the age 18, while others covered middle age or older age groups. The researchers used the data to construct models to estimate how people's blood pressure and cholesterol levels might have changed over the years, and to give an estimated trajectory of risk factors from age 18 upwards.
They then used this data to calculate the effects of different levels of blood pressure and cholesterol at ages 18 to 39 and at 40 plus. They looked at LDL (low density lipoprotein, known as "bad" or harmful cholesterol), and systolic (upper figure) and diastolic (lower figure) blood pressure readings.
The researchers adjusted their figures to take account of the following risk factors:
- ethnic background
- year of birth
- body mass index (BMI)
- use of cholesterol-lowering and blood-pressure lowering medicines
What were the basic results?
During the average 17 years of follow up, there were 4,570 cases of heart disease, 5,119 cases of heart failure and 2,862 cases of stroke among the 36,030 participants. The researchers found some links between higher levels of LDL cholesterol and blood pressure in early adulthood and risk of heart disease and heart failure.
The researchers calculated that people aged 18 to 39 with raised LDL cholesterol (above 100mg/dl, or 25.86mmol/L) would have an increased risk of coronary heart disease.
Compared to people with LDL below 100mg/dL:
- levels 100 to 129mg/dL were linked with a 62% increased risk of heart disease (odds ratio (OR) 1.62, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25 to 2.10)
- levels 130 to 159mg/dl, 89% increased risk (OR 1.89, 95% CI 1.43 to 2.50)
- levels 160mg/dl or above, a doubled risk (OR 2.03, 95% CI 1.47 to 2.82)
The researchers calculated that people aged 18 to 39 with high systolic blood pressure (140mmHg or above) would have a 51% increased risk of heart failure (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.08 to 2.11).
They also calculated that compared to young adults with diastolic blood pressure below 80mmHg, those with:
- levels 80 to 89mmHG would have 25% increased risk of heart failure (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.50) and 21% increased risk of coronary heart disease (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.43)
- levels 90mmHg and above would have 84% increased risk of heart failure (OR 1.84, 95% CI 1.02 to 3.32)
None of the measures for young adults were linked to risk of stroke.
How did the researchers interpret the results?
The researchers said: "Our results add to accumulating evidence that young adulthood is a critical period when exposure to suboptimal BP [blood pressure] or cholesterol is particularly harmful." They said that keeping cholesterol and blood pressure under control in early adulthood "could yield substantial benefits".
However, they warn that young adults are hard to reach for healthcare programmes and "implementing preventive programs targeting individual young adults will require novel prevention program models" that take account of people's tendencies not to think about risks that might happen in the future.
The figures from the study are interesting, as they demonstrate the importance of having healthy cholesterol and blood pressure levels throughout life to help protect against risk of developing cardiovascular disease.
The study essentially supports current understanding around cardiovascular risk. However, there are limitations to be aware of.
The study did not show definite links between high levels of cholesterol and blood pressure and all cardiovascular outcomes assessed. While generally following the same trends, it showed fairly mixed results. For example, raised cholesterol was linked with heart disease but not heart failure, while the opposite was seen with systolic blood pressure.
We do not have details from this study about how these cardiovascular outcomes were assessed, and they are also quite broad terms. For example, the term "coronary heart disease" covers a range of conditions, ranging from angina (serious but not life-threatening) to an actual heart attack. So we cannot be sure of the definite links with each risk factor.
There are many hereditary, health and lifestyle factors that may influence cardiovascular risk. While the study has tried to account for some of the main ones, like diabetes and smoking, we still cannot say for certain that the estimated blood pressure and cholesterol levels at certain ages would directly increase risk of heart disease to that specific extent.
It is also important to realise that the figures are based on mathematical modelling, rather than on the actual results from young people aged 18 to 39. Only 2 of the 6 studies had actually measured risk factors in people under 45. Most of the figures are based on extrapolations of data to other cohorts that included older people. If the mathematical model was inaccurate, that would affect all the results.
It should not be a surprise to learn that raised blood pressure and LDL cholesterol are linked to cardiovascular health. We've known that for some time. This study highlights the importance of having healthy levels throughout life. However, it does not necessarily mean that all young people need to be attending health checks or need to be on statins.
Find out more about ways to keep your heart healthy.
Analysis by Bazian
Edited by NHS Website
Links to the headlines
The Sun, 15 July 2019
Mail Online, 16 July 2019
Links to the science
Journal of the American College of Cardiology. Published online 15 July 2019